貿易通2019 年年報

Chairman’s Statement (Continued) 主席報告書 （續） Tradelink Electronic Commerce Limited Annual Report 2019 10 前景（續） 我們預料整體 GETS 市場會進一步萎縮，雖然目前 難以預測程度，在三個業務分部當中，電子商貿 毋疑為最受香港經濟轉差影響之一，尤以 GETS 子 分部為甚。儘管服務提供商的競爭有所緩解，但 於困難的營業環境下，我們預期現有客戶會帶來 更大定價壓力及進行更多磋商，導致我們可能無 法實現預期的平均價格增幅。近年出現另一個對 我們不利的新興趨勢，呈交貿易報關單從托運人 轉為比我們更有議價能力且價格低廉的快遞公司 及貨運代理，因此亦會影響我們的整體平均價 格。另一方面，由於支持 GETS 的大部分成本為沉 沒或固定成本，收益有任何跌幅將直接接近底 線。就 GETS 業務的二零二零年展望，問題不在會 否遭到打擊，而是打擊的嚴重性。 就政府單一窗口（「單一窗口」）項目方面，根據於 二零一九年十二月提交予立法會工商事務委員會 的最新狀況更新資料中，進度將會進一步延後。 原訂計劃第一階段、第二階段及第三階段分別於 二零一八年、二零二一年第四季及最早於二零 二三年第四季推出，而第一階段的十三份文件當 中，五份已於二零一八年年底前推出。根據向立 法會委員會提供的最新簡報，所有第一階段文件 的實施將會於二零二零年年中完成，而推出第二 階段的最新時間表為二零二三年。於目前階段， 第三階段並無時間表。誠如本人於過往數年的本 集團報告內所述，我們將密切監察此單一窗口項 目的發展，尤其是增值服務供應商（「增值服務供 應商」）未來可能的經營環境，當現時的 GETS 牌照 屆滿，我們或許會成為其中之一。鑒於過去兩年 的實際進度，於二零二零年，我們已組成小隊承 擔新職能，從增值服務供應商的角度出發，探索 關於單一窗口文件的商機。 Prospects (Continued) Amongst our three business segments, the E-Commerce and specifically GETS sub-segment would undoubtedly be the one most affected by the deteriorating Hong Kong economy as we expect the overall GETS market would further shrink, though to what extent is hard to predict at this time. Under a difficult operating environment, though the competition amongst service providers would likely ease, we expect more price pressure and negotiation from existing customers and as a result we might not be able to realize an increase in average price as much as we could otherwise achieve. Another emerging trend in recent years which is not to our favor is the shift of trade declaration submission from shippers to couriers and forwarders who have higher bargaining power for a lower price from us and, as such, also affecting our overall average price. On the other hand, as most of our costs for supporting GETS are sunk or fixed costs, any drop of the top line will almost go directly to the bottom line. For our GETS business outlook in 2020, it is not a question of whether there will be a hit, the question is how hard the hit will be. Regarding the Government’s Single Window (“SW”) project, according to their latest status update provided to the Legislative Council Panel on Commerce and Industry in December 2019, there will be a further delay to the schedule. While their original plan was to launch Phase 1 in 2018, Phase 2 in Q4 2021 and Phase 3 in Q4 2023 at the earliest, five out of the 13 documents under Phase 1 were rolled out before the end of 2018. According to their latest brief to the Legislative Council Panel, implementation of all Phase 1 documents will be completed by mid-2020 and their latest timetable to launch Phase 2 is 2023. For Phase 3 there is no schedule at this stage. As I mentioned in my Statements in the Group’s reports in the last couple of years, we will closely monitor the development of this SW project, in particular the likely future operating environment for Value Added Service Providers (“VASPs”), one of which we potentially will become when the current GETS licence expires. In the light of their actual progress in the last two years, we have set up a small team in 2020 taking up a new function of exploring business opportunities relating to SW documents from a VASP point of view.